The coming era of unlimited - and free -
clean energy.
2014-09-19, Washington Postblog
In the 1980's leading consultants were
skeptical about cellular phones.
The handsets were heavy, batteries didn't
last long, coverage was patchy, and the cost
per minute was exorbitant. The experts are
saying the same about solar energy now. They
say that solar is inefficient, too expensive to
install and unlreliable, and will fail without
government subsidies. They too are wrong.
Solar will be as ubiqitous as cellular phones
are.
Futurist Ray Kurzweil notes that solar power
has been doubling every two years for the
past 30 years - as costs have been dropping.
He says solar energy is only six doublings - or
less than 14 years - away from meeting 100
percent of today's energy needs. By Kurzweils
estimates, inexpensive renewable sources will
provide more eneregy than the world needs in
less than 20 years.
In places such as Germany, Spain, Portugal, Australia,
and the Southwest United States, residential-scale
solar production has already reached "grid parity" with
average residential electricity prices. In other words,
it costs no more in the long term to install solar panels
than to buy electricity from utility companies. The prices
pf solar panels has fallen 75 percent in the opast 5 years
alone and will fall much further as the technologies to
create them improve and scale of production increases.
By 2020, solar energy will be price-competitive with energy
generated from fossil fuels pn ann unsubsidized basis in most
parts nof the world. Within the next decade, it will cost a
fraction of what fossil fuel-based alternatives do. Despite
the skepticism of experts and criticism by naysayers, there
is little doubt that we are heading into an era of unlimited
and almost free clean energy.
Elon Musk Takes on Carbon With Solar, Battery Bets
2014-06-17, ABC News/Associated Press
the energy world is not keeping upwith Elon Mus, so he's
trying to take matters into his own habds. Musk, chairman
of the solar installer SolarCity, announced (on June 17)
that the company would aquire a solar panel maker and
build factories "an order of magnitude" bigger than the
plants that currently churn out panels. Musk is also a
founder and the CEO of the elctric vehicle maker
Tesla Motors, which is planning what it calls a
"gigafactory" to supply batteries for its cars. In both
cases, Musk';s goal is to make sure that the components
crirical to his vision of the future - electric cars and
solar energy - are available and cheap enough to beat
fossil fuels. Musk's fututre customer could ignore
traditional energy companies completely. They'd have
SolarCity oanels on their roof that would generate
enough power to charge up a Tesla car inn the garage.
A Tesla battery could then power the home at night
with stored solar power. Musk has made a career of
thinking far into the future. He is also the CEO of SpaceX,
the rocket company with an ultimate goalof enabling
people to live on other planets. SolarCity says it won't
try to turn out more of the garden-variety
panels nowcloggingthe market. Instead, it wants to make
panels that are more efficient, and make them at a low
cost in huge factories in prder toreduce the overall cost
of solar electricity. Just as he drew customers to electric
vehicles by making sleek, fast sport cars, Musk wants to
attract homeowners to solar with pretty panels. "We want
to have a cool-looking aesthetically pleasing solar system
on your roof," he said.